Red, blue, or neither? The changing color of Florida politics

Red, Blue, or Neither? The Changing Color of Florida Politics

Florida was a predominantly blue state for decades before evolving into a swing state. Today, it is more than 40 percent red, though experts suggest it may not be as firmly red as it seems.

Two-Party System and Third-Party Impact

The Democratic and Republican parties have been the primary political forces since the two-party system became established between 1824 and 1840. Other parties, such as Independents and Libertarians, or voters without party affiliation, exist but have had limited success. According to the Pew Research Center, it has been over 50 years since a third-party presidential candidate won any state. In Florida, the last instance was in 1848, when Zachary Taylor from the Whig Party won the presidency.

Political Shifts in Florida

The Sunshine State maintained a predominantly blue voter base for many years. However, recent local elections have seen some flips to blue, indicating the state might not be as solidly red as it appears. Since the Civil War, the two major parties have dominated Florida’s political landscape. Between 1972 and 2020, Democrats held the majority of registered voters. In 2021, Republicans took the lead and have steadily increased their margin over Democrats since.

Personal Perspectives on Party Changes

“I haven't changed that much, but I feel like the party has. And, you know, the party (kind of) abandoned me.” – Teri H.

Teri H., who grew up Republican, has moved away from the party’s current direction. After military service, Teri attended the University of North Florida and became chair of its College Republicans. To avoid job-related backlash, Teri requested that only his first name be used by WUSF.

Author's summary: Florida's political landscape has shifted from blue to red, but complex voter dynamics and local shifts suggest the state’s partisan identity remains fluid and evolving.

WLRN — 2025-11-07